MLB Picks

Expert MLB Picks & Moneyline Values

Identify betting value on run-lines and game totals based on daily starting pitcher comparisons.

Season Slate
162 Games
Moneyline Win Rate
59.8% Win Rate
Value Pitching
Model Tool
MLB game action

Starting Pitcher Value Matchup Calculator

Input starting pitcher statistics to calculate fair moneyline odds and evaluate the sportsbook line edge.

Away Starting Pitcher
Earned Run Avg (ERA): 4.00
WHIP Ratio: 1.25
Strikeouts per 9 (K/9): 8.5
Home Starting Pitcher
Earned Run Avg (ERA): 3.50
WHIP Ratio: 1.18
Strikeouts per 9 (K/9): 9.2
Model Analysis
Projected Fair Odds
-145
Value Edge Advantage +4.2%

Calculating value edge recommendation...

MLB Tonight's Featured Picks

Matchup Selection Pick Type Rating Odds Analyst
NYY @ BOS New York Yankees ML Moneyline 5-Star Lock -115 Marcus Johnson
LAD @ SF Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 Run-Line 3-Star Value +125 Sarah Mitchell
CHC @ STL Under 8.5 Runs Game Total 4-Star Value -110 Tom Bradley

Sportzwager MLB Staff Standings

Marcus Johnson
Senior Writer & Pitching Model Lead
Record
142-98 ML
Units
+41.2 U
Sarah Mitchell
Analytics Editor
Record
128-112 Run-Line
Units
+19.5 U
Tom Bradley
Market Analyst
Record
120-118 ATS
Units
+2.4 U